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Hypothesis Testing for mean when σ is Unknown

Tips about Hypothesis Testing for Mean when σ is Unknown:



Definations

  • Hypothesis Testing: A statistical method used to make decisions about the population based on sample data.
  • Null Hypothesis (H₀): A statement that there is no effect or no difference, and it is what we seek to test against. It usually contains the equality (e.g., H₀: μ = μ₀), less than or equal to ((μ ≤ μ₀), or greater than or equla to (μ ≥ μ₀) .
  • Alternative Hypothesis (H₁): A statement that indicates the presence of an effect or difference. It is what we want to provide evidence for (e.g., H₁: μ ≠ μ₀, μ < μ₀, or μ > μ₀).
  • Test Statistic: A standardized value used to determine the probability of observing the test results under the null hypothesis. For unknown population standard deviations, this is usually the t-statistic.
  • Degrees of Freedom (df): A parameter that influences the shape of the t-distribution.
  • Significance Level (α): The probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. Common values are 0.05, 0.01, and 0.10.
  • Critical Value: The threshold or cut-off value that defines the boundary of the rejection region for the null hypothesis.




General Steps

  1. Formulate Hypotheses:
    • \(H_0: μ = μ₀ : μ ≥ μ₀ : μ ≤ μ₀\)
    • \(H_1: μ ≠ μ₀ : μ < μ₀ : μ > μ₀\)

    • The inequality sign in the Alternative hypothesis indicates the type of tests. i.e., \(H_1\): \(μ ≠ μ₀ \) (two-tailed), \(μ > μ₀ \) (right-tailed), or \(μ < μ₀ \) (left-tailed)

  2. Specify the significance Level (α)
    • The common α's are 10%, 5%, and 1%.

  3. Calculate the test Statistcs (\(t_{\bar{x}}\)),
    • Depends on the sample size, data distribution, and whether the population standard deviation is known.
    • Common tests include Z-test, t-test, chi-square test, and ANOVA.
    • In this case we will use t-test statistsics
    • \[ t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \] and the degree of fredom is as follows: \[ df = n-1 \]

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    Sample Data


  5. Determine the critical value of t for the Desired Confidence Level:
    • Significance Levels and tα/2 Values

      In the table below, I’ve listed common significance levels (10%, 5%, 1%) along with their corresponding degrees of freedom (df) and \( t_{\alpha/2} \) and \( t_{\alpha} \) values:

      α df \( t_{\alpha/2} \) \( t_{\alpha} \)
      0.1 30 1.697 1.310
      0.05 30 2.042 1.697
      0.01 45 2.750 2.015
      N/A N/A

      where:
      α is a ssignificance level.
      df is the degree of freedom.
      \(t_{\alpha}\) is a one-tailed t-critical Value.
      \(t_{\alpha/2}\) is a two tailed t-critical value

      Feel free to provide a signifcance level and degree of freedom in a given space, then I’ll calculate the corresponding \(t_{\alpha/2}\) and \(t_{\alpha}\) for you only!


  6. Decision:
      Compare the test statistic \(t_{\bar{x}}\) to the critical value \(t_{\alpha}\) or compare the p-value to the significance level.
    • Reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis based on this comparison.
    • If | \(t_{\bar{x}}\) | > |\(t_{\alpha}\)|, reject the \(H_0\).
    • If | \(t_{\bar{x}}\) | ≤ |\(t_{\alpha}\)|, fail to reject the \(H_0\).
  7. Draw the conclusin:
    • When interpreting the results of a hypothesis test, it’s essential to consider both the claim being tested and the decision made. Here’s a step-by-step guide to drawing conclusions based on the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)):
    • Follow this step to draw a conclusion
      • Identify the Claims:
      • Null Hypothesis \(H_0\) This represents the default position or the claim being tested.
      • Alternative Hypothesis \(H_1\) This is the claim you are trying to find evidence for.

        Make a Decisions:
      • Reject \(H_0\): Evidence suggests that \(H_0\) is not true.
      • Do Not Reject \(H_0\): Evidence is insufficient to conclude \(H_0\) is not true.

        Draw a conclusion:
        When the claim is \(H_0\):
      • Reject \(H_0\): There is evidence to rejcet the claim.
      • Do Not Reject \(H_0\): There is not enough evidences to rejct the claim.

      • When the claim is is \(H_1\):
      • Reject \(H_0\): There is evidence to support the claim.
      • Do Not Reject \(H_0\): There is not enough evidences to support the claim.


Common Errors:

Numbered and Bulleted List
  1. Incorrect Hypothesis Formulation:
    • Misstating the null and alternative hypotheses can lead to incorrect conclusions.
  2. Misinterpreting the Significance Level:
    • Confusing the significance level (α) with the p-value.
  3. Misinterpreting p-value:
    • The p-value is not the probability that H₀ is true, but the probability of observing the data given that H₀ is true.
  4. Confusing Statistical Significance with Practical Significance:
    • A result can be statistically significant but not practically meaningful.
  5. Ignoring Assumptions:
    • Many tests assume normality, equal variances, or independent samples. Violating these assumptions can lead to incorrect conclusions.


Additional Tips

  1. Normality Assumption: For small samples (n < 30):
    • The population should be normally distributed. For larger samples, the Central Limit Theory generally allows for normality.
  2. Understanding the Context:
    • Before performing any test, understand the context and research question to choose the correct test and hypotheses.
  3. Report Effect Sizes:
    • Along with p-values, report effect sizes to show the magnitude of the difference or effect.

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