Confidence Interval Calculators
Hypothesis Testing for mean when σ is known
Tips about Hypothesis testing for Mean when σ known:
Definations
- Hypothesis Testing: A statistical method used to make inferences or draw conclusions about a population based on sample data. It involves testing an assumption (hypothesis) about a population parameter.
- Null Hypothesis (H₀): The default assumption that there is no effect or no difference. It is the hypothesis that the test seeks to nullify.
- Alternative Hypothesis (H₁ or Ha): is a statement that indicates the presence of an effect or difference. It is what you want to test for. For example, H₁ might state that there is a difference between two population means.
- Significance Level (α): is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true (Type I error). Common significance levels are 0.05, 0.01, and 0.10.
- P-Value: is the probability of observing the test results under the null hypothesis. It helps determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. A p-value less than the significance level indicates strong evidence against H₀.
- Critical Value:is a threshold that defines the boundary for rejecting the null hypothesis. It is based on the significance level and the distribution of the test statistic.
General Steps
- Formulate Hypotheses:
- The null and alternative hypothesis for each tail stated as follow as:
- \(H_0:μ = μ₀ : μ ≥ μ₀ : μ ≤ μ₀\)
\(H_1: μ ≠ μ₀ : μ < μ₀ : μ > μ₀\)
The inequality sign in the Alternative hypothesis indicates the type of tests. i.e., \(H_1\): \(μ₁ ≠ μ₂ \) (two-tailed), \(μ₁ > μ₂ \) (right-tailed), or \(μ₁ < μ₂ \) (left-tailed).
- Specify the significance Level (α)
- The common α's are 10%, 5%, and 1%. This determines the threshold for rejecting H₀.
- Choose the Test statistic: ,
- Depends on the sample size, data distribution, and whether the population standard deviation is known.
- Common tests include Z-test, t-test, chi-square test, and ANOVA.
- In this case we will use z-test statistsics \[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{δ}{\sqrt{n}}} \]
- Determine the critical value of z for the Desired Confidence Level:
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Significance Levels and Z-Critical Values Use the table below to find Z-critical values based on significance levels (α) for both two-tailed and one-tailed tests:
Significance Level (α) \(z_{\alpha/2}\) \(z_{\alpha}\) 0.1 1.645 1.282 0.05 1.960 1.645 0.01 2.576 2.326 N/A N/A where:
α is a ssignificance level.
\(z_{\alpha}\) is a one-tailed z-critical Value.
\(z_{\alpha/2}\) is a two tailed z-critical valueFeel free to provide a signifcance level in a given space, then I’ll calculate the corresponding \(z_{\alpha/2}\) and \(z_{\alpha}\) for you only!
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- Decision:
- Reject H₀ if the test statistic falls in the rejection region or if the p-value is less than α.
- Fail to reject H₀ if the test statistic does not fall in the rejection region or if the p-value is greater than α.
- In general the decision will be made by comparing the \(z_{\bar{x}}\) to the \(z_{\alpha}\). If | \(z_{\bar{x}}\) | > |\(z_{\alpha}\)|, reject the \(H_0\).
If | \(z_{\bar{x}}\) | ≤ |\(z_{\alpha}\)|, fail to reject the \(H_0\). - Draw the conclusin:
- When interpreting the results of a hypothesis test, it’s essential to consider both the claim being tested and the decision made. Here’s a step-by-step guide to drawing conclusions based on the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)):
- Follow this step to draw a conclusion
- Null Hypothesis \(H_0\) This represents the default position or the claim being tested.
- Alternative Hypothesis \(H_1\) This is the claim you are trying to find evidence for.
- Reject \(H_0\): Evidence suggests that \(H_0\) is not true.
- Do Not Reject \(H_0\): Evidence is insufficient to conclude \(H_0\) is not true.
- Reject \(H_0\): There is evidence to rejcet the claim.
- Do Not Reject \(H_0\): There is not enough evidences to rejct the claim.
- Reject \(H_0\): There is evidence to support the claim.
- Do Not Reject \(H_0\): There is not enough evidences to support the claim.
- Identify the Claims:
- Make a Decisions:
- Draw a conclusion:
When the claim is \(H_0\):
When the claim is is \(H_1\):
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Sample Data |
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Standard Error (\(SE\)) | -- |
Z-Statistic (\(z\)) | -- |
Common Errors:
- Type I Error (False Positive):
- Rejecting H₀ when it is true. The probability of making this error is α.
- Type II Error (False Negative):
- Failing to reject H₀ when H₁ is true. The probability of making this error is β.
- Misinterpreting the P-Value:
- The p-value does not measure the probability that H₀ is true, but rather the probability of observing the data if H₀ is true.
- Overlooking Assumptions:
- Many tests have assumptions (e.g., normality, equal variances). Violating these assumptions can affect the validity of the test results.
- Sample Size Issues:
- Small sample sizes can lead to inaccurate estimates and increased risk of Type II errors.
Additional Tips
- Understand Your Data:
- Make sure to understand the characteristics of your data and choose the appropriate test based on the data type and distribution.
- Check Assumptions:
- Verify that the data meets the assumptions required for the statistical test you are using.
- Report Effect Size:
- Alongside p-values, report the effect size to provide a measure of the magnitude of the observed effect.
- Be Cautious with the Significance Level:
- While α = 0.05 is common, adjust the significance level based on the context and consequences of Type I and Type II errors.
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